Questions to Ask Before You Believe a Pol Essay Example for Free

Questions to Ask Before You Believe a Pol Essay Opinion polls and other sample surveys can produce accurate and useful information if the pollster uses good statistical techniques and also works hard at preparing a sampling frame, wording questions, and reducing nonresponse. Many surveys, however, especially those designed to influence public opinion rather than just record it, do not produce accurate or useful information. Here are some questions to ask before you pay much attention to poll results. †¢Who carried out the survey? Even a political party should hire a professional sample survey firm whose reputation demands that they follow good survey practices. †¢What was the population? That is, whose opinions were being sought? †¢How was the sample selected? Look for mention of random sampling. †¢How large was the sample? Even better, find out both the sample size and the margin of error within which the results of 95% of all samples drawn as this one was would fall. †¢What was the response rate? That is, what percent of the original subjects actually provided information? †¢How were the subjects contacted? By telephone? Mail? Face-to-face interview? †¢When was the survey conducted? Was it just after some event that might have influenced opinion? †¢What were the exact questions asked? Academic survey centers and government statistical offices answer these questions when they announce the results of a sample survey. National opinion polls usually don’t announce their response rate (which is often low) but do give us the other information. Editors and newscasters have the bad habit of cutting out these dull facts and reporting only the sample results. Many sample surveys by interest groups and local newspapers and TV stations don’t answer these questions because their polling methods are in fact unreliable. If a politician, an advertiser, or your local TV station announces the results of a poll without complete information, be skeptical. Even professional sample surveys don’t give exactly correct information about the population. There are many potential sources of error in sampling. The margin of error announced by a sample survey covers only random sampling error, the variation due to chance in choosing a random sample. Other types of error are in addition to the margin of error and can’t be directly measured. Sampling errors come from the act of choosing a sample. Random sampling error and undercoverage are common types of sampling error. Undercoverage occurs when some members of the population are left out of the sampling frame, the list from which the sample is actually chosen. The most serious errors in most careful surveys, however, are non-sampling errors. These have nothing to do with choosing a sample—they are present even in a census. The single biggest problem for sample surveys is nonresponse: subjects can’t be contacted or refuse to answer. Mistakes in handling the data (processing errors) and incorrect answers by respondents (response errors) are other examples of non-sampling errors.

Ernest Hemingway After Fitzgerald :: Biography Biographies Essays

Hemingway After Fitzgerald Hemingway after Fitzgerald continued to be the man everyone expected him to be, superficially at least. He was famous, adventurous, had affairs with women, and continued to dominate the literary world. In the end, however, these very characteristics brought him into a state of depression that would ultimately defeat him. In the words of Kelly Dupuis, "[Hemingway's] final years were haunted by some of the same ghosts that haunted Fitzgerald: alcoholism, mental illness (in this case his own) and a creeping sense of diminished self-worth"1 Hemingway did not attend Fitzgerald's funeral after his death on December 21, 1940. It is not known when or how he had received word while in Cuba and Hemingway made no public statement regarding Fitzgerald's death.2 After The Last Tycoon was released to warm receptions that deemed Fitzgerald as capable of more "mature" work, Hemingway remained unmoved with the stories, saying "Scott died inside himself at around the age of thirty to thirty-five and his creative powers died somewhat later...the book has that deadness...as though it were a slab of bacon on which mold had grown" (Bruccoli, Dangerous 210). At this point in his life Hemingway had moved to a house outside Havana, Cuba with his wife Martha. While his public image continued to expand (seemingly at the expense of his work), he continued working on several writing projects that would later become Islands In The Stream and The Garden Of Eden. In 1942 (in one of the most bizarre stories I could imagine) Hemingway began an undercover operation with some friends and professional operatives to hunt down German submarines in the Atlantic ocean off the coast of Cuba. He used his own boat, Pilar, and attached radio equipment and extra fuel tanks, hoping that, in the offchance he found a German sub, he could "drop a bomb down the hatch". They called themselves the "Crook Factory." Nothing ever came of their sub hunts except a good time fishing and drinking together, in the process irritating Martha who thought Hemingway was avoiding the responsibilities as a great writer to report the real war then raging in Europe".3 From May of 1 944 to March 1945 Hemingway served in London and France as Collier's correspondent. There he met his fourth wife, Mary Welsh, who he married in 1946. Throughout the 1950's Hemingway's reputation grew as a celebrity as his public image dominated the literary world with every new book he wrote. Ernest Hemingway After Fitzgerald :: Biography Biographies Essays Hemingway After Fitzgerald Hemingway after Fitzgerald continued to be the man everyone expected him to be, superficially at least. He was famous, adventurous, had affairs with women, and continued to dominate the literary world. In the end, however, these very characteristics brought him into a state of depression that would ultimately defeat him. In the words of Kelly Dupuis, "[Hemingway's] final years were haunted by some of the same ghosts that haunted Fitzgerald: alcoholism, mental illness (in this case his own) and a creeping sense of diminished self-worth"1 Hemingway did not attend Fitzgerald's funeral after his death on December 21, 1940. It is not known when or how he had received word while in Cuba and Hemingway made no public statement regarding Fitzgerald's death.2 After The Last Tycoon was released to warm receptions that deemed Fitzgerald as capable of more "mature" work, Hemingway remained unmoved with the stories, saying "Scott died inside himself at around the age of thirty to thirty-five and his creative powers died somewhat later...the book has that deadness...as though it were a slab of bacon on which mold had grown" (Bruccoli, Dangerous 210). At this point in his life Hemingway had moved to a house outside Havana, Cuba with his wife Martha. While his public image continued to expand (seemingly at the expense of his work), he continued working on several writing projects that would later become Islands In The Stream and The Garden Of Eden. In 1942 (in one of the most bizarre stories I could imagine) Hemingway began an undercover operation with some friends and professional operatives to hunt down German submarines in the Atlantic ocean off the coast of Cuba. He used his own boat, Pilar, and attached radio equipment and extra fuel tanks, hoping that, in the offchance he found a German sub, he could "drop a bomb down the hatch". They called themselves the "Crook Factory." Nothing ever came of their sub hunts except a good time fishing and drinking together, in the process irritating Martha who thought Hemingway was avoiding the responsibilities as a great writer to report the real war then raging in Europe".3 From May of 1 944 to March 1945 Hemingway served in London and France as Collier's correspondent. There he met his fourth wife, Mary Welsh, who he married in 1946. Throughout the 1950's Hemingway's reputation grew as a celebrity as his public image dominated the literary world with every new book he wrote.

Palamon Love Essay

Palamon wants Arcite to let his eyes of Emily and not interfere, but Arcite says â€Å"l loved her first as women and on my head I swear, love is a greater law than any other that may be given to any earthly man. † (pg. 89) love replaces all other commitments. They both show each other how much they love Emily. Later on, they both somehow manage to get out of prison. First, Arcite got out and after seven years Palamon. They both suddenly meet at grove in ngry looks and want to fight for Emily, while Theseus appearing there too with his wife and Emily. At first Theseus wanted to kill them, but seeing the situation of theirs he changes his mind and sets up arena for them to fght. They both are ready to do anything to grant Emily as wife. Then, Theseus builds 3 temples. Venus (the goddess of love), Mars (the god of war), and Diana (the goddess of chastity). Palamon went to Venus to ask to get Emily, Arcite went to Mars to ask to win the war, and Emily went to Diana to ask to say virgin or else marry a guy love her the most. After that, the battle begun and Arcite won the war with the help of the god that he visited, and Palamon lost, but in the end Palamon won and got Emily. Palamon won because of Pluto who sent earthquake at Saturn’s request for Venus. Arcite dies because of earthquake and fell from his horse and hits his head to ground. He died as noble knight to get Emily, and didn’t care about his brotherhood relationship with Palamon while fghing against him for Emily. The knight is noble, conqueror, gentle and has pity, which he is similar to Theseus the character in the story that he is telling. The gentle duke jumped down from his horse with pitying heart as he heard them speak†. (pg. 77) Theseus takes pity on those women that he meets on his way and gives what the women asked for. Which it looks like that the Knight is describing himself as Theseus. He likes fghting from the beginning so he made arrangement for Arcite and Palamon to fght over Emily. The story starts with battle of Amazons and after he marries the queen of Amazon as price of winning a battle besides the story also ends with Palamon marrying Emily in which he also get her by winning the battle.

Good Timing Is A Team - 800 Words

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